Jannik Sinner won. Smart money backed Jan-Lennard Struff (12 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $877k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $9.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 94% · Republican Party 6% | $7.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 75% · R Senate, D House 22% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $4.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.8M |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma | AS Roma 83% · Manchester United FC 5% | $2.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 76% · Mike Rogers (R) 24% | $1.9M |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC | FC Barcelona 82% · Aston Villa FC 5% | $1.9M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Giannis34x | Jannik Sinner | $2k |
| vincentchase11 | Jannik Sinner | $638.20 |
| 0x4e8b… | Jannik Sinner | $544.90 |
| Cuco84 | Jannik Sinner | $526.32 |
| Gladiator02 | Jannik Sinner | $360 |
| DanJovel | Jannik Sinner | $315.16 |
| Adelius | Jannik Sinner | $311.87 |
| flexfit | Jannik Sinner | $296.50 |
| 0x10bc… | Jannik Sinner | $289.90 |
| Maxoupicsou | Jannik Sinner | $229.39 |
| yf5210 | Jannik Sinner | $221.70 |
| Kingcashmach02 | Jannik Sinner | $165.40 |
436 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $17k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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