Lorenzo Musetti won. Smart money backed Alexander Zverev (28 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $1.2M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Joe Kent 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Heat vs. Clippers | Heat 27% · Clippers 73% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $974k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $951k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $599k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $357k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| juice-fruit | Lorenzo Musetti | $123k |
| robustmst | Lorenzo Musetti | $44k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Lorenzo Musetti | $14k |
| Limousin | Lorenzo Musetti | $13k |
| AnonymousUsername | Lorenzo Musetti | $12k |
| ArturitoFilito | Lorenzo Musetti | $12k |
| pm13333 | Lorenzo Musetti | $11k |
| Venusian | Lorenzo Musetti | $9k |
| Kunkun111 | Lorenzo Musetti | $7k |
| NotJump | Lorenzo Musetti | $7k |
| LightParadox | Lorenzo Musetti | $5k |
| 0xec9f… | Lorenzo Musetti | $5k |
863 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $305k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $222k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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