Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $32k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Glenn Youngkin 1% | $805k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 3% · Mark Cuban 0% | $772k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 78% · Luca Van Assche 22% | $465k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $398k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $398k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $361k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x575b… | Down | $345.24 |
| Pellepele | Down | $297.62 |
| KARIZMATIKU | Down | $172.15 |
| Anonim123123123 | Down | $170.26 |
| 0xb676… | Down | $122.58 |
| dapr | Down | $95.39 |
| 0x0be5… | Down | $94 |
| 0x78bf… | Down | $90.35 |
| MAxummxim | Down | $68.65 |
| boggycryptoman | Down | $50.05 |
| atr20 | Down | $41.99 |
| aksdsdl | Down | $40 |
183 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 52 biggest losers gave up $3.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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