Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $16k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 68% · No change 29% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.7M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 35% · BetBoom Team 65% | $1.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $947k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 21% · Kamala Harris 3% | $761k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% | $488k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $472k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 30% | $424k |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | FURIA 54% · BetBoom Team 46% | $358k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| PVNGL | Up | $177.97 |
| 0x8a04… | Down | $101.25 |
| 0xb051… | Down | $67.91 |
| voyager09 | Up | $50.93 |
| Robotron.4 | Up | $29.07 |
| 0x6d8b… | Up | $26.51 |
| alexzew123 | Up | $26.23 |
| mydreams | Up | $26.16 |
| wonderpets | Up | $20.40 |
| JJ-ZHONG | Up | $18.58 |
| Alrushoudsalem | Up | $17.81 |
| ponymarketsucks | Up | $17.36 |
148 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $851; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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