Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $48k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 29% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.7M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 51% · BetBoom Team 50% | $2.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $949k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $822k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% | $483k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 30% | $424k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $387k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul | Ben Shelton 41% · Tommy Paul 60% | $309k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| KARIZMATIKU | Up | $7k |
| 0x575b… | Up | $329.90 |
| boggycryptoman | Up | $167.50 |
| Drnikii | Up | $147 |
| blue-synergy | Up | $136.33 |
| persikyyy | Up | $116.90 |
| incrediblemachine | Up | $115.03 |
| 0x7934… | Up | $84.04 |
| 3XInZone. | Up | $77.07 |
| stonearc | Up | $60 |
| akt2026 | Up | $54.79 |
| 0x0363… | Up | $52.71 |
178 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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