Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $20k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.7M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 54% · BetBoom Team 46% | $2.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $949k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $822k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% | $483k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 30% | $424k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $387k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul | Ben Shelton 44% · Tommy Paul 56% | $309k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Polkadot-Frog | Down | $215.74 |
| newmon1 | Down | $207.28 |
| almach | Down | $158.14 |
| Dubaiitaly | Up | $142.93 |
| lostgoy | Down | $98.78 |
| greengoblin12 | Down | $90.68 |
| PRED-IQ | Down | $84.93 |
| Shanko1976 | Down | $83.47 |
| tydollasign | Down | $78.42 |
| 0x96df… | Down | $73.20 |
| hanspost | Down | $68.25 |
| 0x6d8b… | Down | $48.52 |
145 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 59 biggest losers gave up $2.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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