Down won. Smart money backed Up (5 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $614k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $898k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 29% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $889k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $497k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $431k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $402k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 53% · No 48% | $345k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $327k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xfdc0… | Down | $2k |
| qingtian6688 | Down | $659.41 |
| ML得意 | Down | $392 |
| autobettor | Down | $231.74 |
| chacamariano | Down | $223.91 |
| 0x6615… | Down | $125 |
| gr2 | Down | $76.91 |
| slurrydps | Down | $71.74 |
| dallascd | Down | $68.62 |
| danstand | Down | $68.42 |
| pendejos1.1 | Down | $50.99 |
| Bishengyes | Down | $42.20 |
257 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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