Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $58k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $713k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 70% · Luca Van Assche 31% | $586k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $422k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 63% · No 38% | $391k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $370k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tlfd4 | Down | $1k |
| tlfd1 | Down | $1k |
| minusalpha1 | Down | $538.99 |
| 0x6dd4… | Down | $178.88 |
| rekttdoteth | Down | $174.16 |
| theUpsideDown | Down | $173.90 |
| asabovesobelow2 | Down | $160.97 |
| 0DD909D9 | Down | $141.89 |
| ah-cop-mo-money | Down | $98.74 |
| B15mMarketMaking | Down | $92.39 |
| insect0r | Down | $78.39 |
| 0xc878… | Down | $71.42 |
247 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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