Who won the most on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET”?

moon-k58-lad took $649 on Up at an average entry of 19¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.1k on Down. The winners and losers below are realized at resolution from on-chain fills, not self-reported.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Market · resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 83¢) and lost. Volume $46k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
Up
Smart money lost
Down
Volume
$46k
Closed
Oct 14, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

Settled

Who won and who lost.

409 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.

Winners · Up

P&L on this market

1moon-k58-lad
+$649
$800 at 19¢ · all-time −$108k
2maxmaxi04
+$480
$558 at 14¢ · all-time −$221k
3SchroedingerBets
+$303

Smart wallets

Who held each side.

Down

2 wallets · 72 known shares

vls96
entry 81¢ · all-time −$22k · win —
hotdammm
entry 96¢ · all-time −$133 · win 89%

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FAQ

Who won “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET” on Polymarket?: Up won; it closed Oct 14, 2026, on $46k of volume. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 83¢) and lost. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET”?: moon-k58-lad took $649 on Up at an average entry of 19¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.1k on Down. The winners and losers below are realized at resolution from on-chain fills, not self-reported.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

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