Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $68k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 78% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.1M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 7% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 5% | $3.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 22% | $2.8M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $987k |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 36% · No 64% | $963k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| B-15-T | Down | $196.30 |
| 0x27cc… | Down | $82.50 |
| dmitrdv | Down | $64.81 |
| misspolly | Down | $46.15 |
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $44.68 |
| 81d661 | Down | $42.89 |
| 52214so | Down | $39.78 |
| 358cd3 | Down | $35.25 |
| 0x9009… | Down | $34.08 |
| 9e1Ac1 | Down | $30.41 |
| toto1974 | Down | $27.87 |
| gabigol | Down | $27.08 |
216 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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