Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $34k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 36% · IA 12% · IA, KS 6% | $13.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 24% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.8M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $870k |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | MOUZ 96% · BetBoom Team 4% | $790k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x954b… | Up | $388.77 |
| hsb881367 | Up | $252.02 |
| yst369 | Up | $239.33 |
| zpman | Up | $186.51 |
| HuskyTrade | Up | $148.26 |
| minusalpha1 | Up | $83.66 |
| 0x20b3… | Up | $75.21 |
| 0xec4e… | Up | $70.80 |
| weiyida | Up | $68.77 |
| erereer | Up | $59.43 |
| laddergem | Up | $58.65 |
| hevenshine | Up | $57.48 |
252 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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