Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 34¢) and lost. Volume $25k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $713k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 70% · Luca Van Assche 31% | $586k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $422k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 63% · No 38% | $391k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $370k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x954b… | Down | $418.81 |
| Danik123456 | Down | $213.38 |
| hehexd69 | Down | $73.15 |
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $69.27 |
| rdimath | Down | $68.42 |
| Sukmo22 | Down | $43.96 |
| nemonem | Down | $39.41 |
| renford18 | Down | $35.06 |
| alveron24 | Down | $34.19 |
| tlfd3 | Down | $32.66 |
| 0x3179… | Down | $30.67 |
| tlfd1 | Down | $29.75 |
263 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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