Up won. Smart money backed Down (5 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢) and lost. Volume $52k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 3% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 8% | $942k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $712k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $454k |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? | Yes 53% · No 48% | $410k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tlfd4 | Up | $2k |
| tlfd1 | Up | $1k |
| 0xb55f… | Up | $753.83 |
| irnwl | Up | $644.33 |
| HuskyTrade | Up | $592.81 |
| asabovesobelow2 | Up | $542.16 |
| qmaxm | Up | $452.62 |
| buttonmasher | Up | $443.40 |
| tlfd3 | Up | $281.38 |
| weathermath | Up | $275.68 |
| Atomforge | Up | $257.31 |
| yshenbj | Up | $190.87 |
376 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $10k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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