Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $31k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 30% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.6M |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 26% · Natus Vincere 75% | $2.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $689k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 14% | $514k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $372k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 29% | $313k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $279k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| maxmaxi04 | Down | $160.40 |
| trdyugiolkw | Down | $106.26 |
| Yanis.s | Up | $100.39 |
| 0xb5e7… | Down | $86.84 |
| Xchan1 | Down | $86.47 |
| McxBoi | Down | $83.45 |
| 41c | Down | $83.30 |
| odahoa | Down | $76.43 |
| buttonmasher | Down | $73.43 |
| weathermath | Down | $60.85 |
| tydollasign | Down | $60.50 |
| gd78sagd | Down | $58.02 |
346 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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