Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $35k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $12.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.2M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 24% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $2.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 73% · No 27% | $1.2M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $868k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mihigh | Down | $92.49 |
| 0x3e59… | Down | $75.44 |
| okeledokelee | Down | $62.25 |
| erereer | Down | $61.78 |
| sdjkhgjkdhskjg | Down | $56.45 |
| sfkjbsr457 | Down | $53.71 |
| 0xb0da… | Down | $44.47 |
| BrickThrower | Down | $40.28 |
| spartacray | Down | $34.38 |
| 0xc52d… | Down | $31.82 |
| renford18 | Down | $31.25 |
| twilight. | Down | $28.57 |
381 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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