Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $37k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 78% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.1M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 7% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 5% | $3.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 22% | $2.8M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $987k |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $963k |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 38% · Seahawks 62% | $617k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x6c8b… | Down | $80.50 |
| BrickThrower | Down | $49.99 |
| AngelOfFire | Down | $39.73 |
| lsz111 | Down | $30.00 |
| 0xb982… | Down | $27.72 |
| Wasdcantwin | Down | $23.16 |
| 010101ads | Down | $21.89 |
| 0x3589… | Down | $16.94 |
| aprf | Down | $16.29 |
| 0xf72f… | Down | $15.60 |
| Voz | Down | $15.19 |
| 0xd04f… | Down | $14.94 |
497 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $721; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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