Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 66¢) and lost. Volume $58k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 19% · Joe Kent 1% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $978k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $886k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $569k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $408k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $402k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 52% · No 49% | $357k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x03be… | Down | $3k |
| shaillakhani | Down | $1k |
| casaverde | Down | $751.10 |
| 0xeea1… | Down | $697.48 |
| BrickThrower | Down | $144.05 |
| 0x4387… | Down | $130.55 |
| updowduke | Down | $107.66 |
| 0xst33zy | Up | $99.95 |
| 0x4949… | Down | $91 |
| xinxin103 | Down | $91 |
| 0x1828… | Down | $89.18 |
| Technerd007 | Up | $64.02 |
570 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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