Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $66k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $894k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $652k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 40% · Zeynep Sonmez 60% | $361k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 27% | $355k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| winerluna | Up | $739.39 |
| 0x568b… | Up | $172.91 |
| zishuo | Up | $78.60 |
| ApexUpDown | Up | $73.76 |
| 0x7da6… | Up | $70.59 |
| Jamel129 | Up | $53.99 |
| std0 | Up | $53.07 |
| earlywise | Up | $46.19 |
| Mihigh | Up | $45.27 |
| BrickThrower | Up | $40.55 |
| 0x358f… | Up | $38.43 |
| erereer | Up | $37.58 |
588 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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