Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $47k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 19% · Joe Kent 1% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $978k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $886k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $569k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $408k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $402k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 52% · No 49% | $357k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xe5ef… | Down | $463.44 |
| y8ke03 | Down | $139.24 |
| BrickThrower | Down | $95.72 |
| nememmememe | Down | $91.64 |
| AngelZaloga | Down | $90.38 |
| Bestpredict0101 | Down | $73.67 |
| loco1337 | Down | $67.44 |
| izzy117 | Down | $54.90 |
| ApexUpDown | Down | $49.80 |
| Hamudi415 | Down | $42.13 |
| incryptobase | Down | $40.90 |
| 0x9453… | Down | $33.88 |
535 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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