Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $50k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $972k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 2% · Ivanka Trump 1% | $842k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $691k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 64% · Antonia Ruzic 36% | $366k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $336k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xced8… | Up | $505.73 |
| 0xa33c… | Up | $488.81 |
| 0x030b… | Up | $275.62 |
| Jamel129 | Up | $113.67 |
| lsz111 | Up | $107.91 |
| 0x74c3… | Up | $104.08 |
| y8ke03 | Up | $103.38 |
| 0x1828… | Up | $77.95 |
| lyfanshen | Up | $69.41 |
| RowenSecret | Up | $60 |
| Meirg | Up | $56.37 |
| 0xb1ca… | Up | $51.00 |
533 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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