Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $21k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 68% · No change 31% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $696k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 45% · FC Midtjylland 32% | $455k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $430k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 61% · No 40% | $420k |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 41% · Bilibili Gaming 60% | $399k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hosit | Down | $90.36 |
| awdszxc59 | Down | $71.26 |
| earlywise | Down | $71.18 |
| Vigilant-Cruelty-Payment | Down | $56.82 |
| inmortal88-88 | Down | $44.81 |
| lyfanshen | Down | $31.68 |
| 0x63ad… | Down | $30 |
| Matake | Down | $27.91 |
| AngTatt2 | Down | $22.93 |
| Monaco.Dansn | Down | $18.80 |
| newera17 | Down | $18.63 |
| Bokich | Down | $17.04 |
299 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $875; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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