Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $59k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $926k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $819k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $692k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 42% · Antonia Ruzic 58% | $344k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $336k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| casaverde | Up | $487.42 |
| 0xb7a0… | Up | $399.49 |
| dfcjack | Up | $232.40 |
| Tiradentes | Down | $142.32 |
| y8ke03 | Up | $134.95 |
| BrickThrower | Up | $134.36 |
| BOOOST | Up | $118 |
| Shaygai19121983 | Down | $84.44 |
| Helpless-Sunshine-Peen | Down | $76.57 |
| BatyKaren | Up | $76.52 |
| 0xa5ca… | Up | $75.27 |
| Jesuswasdead | Up | $72.99 |
604 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.