Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 35¢) and lost. Volume $29k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $847k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys | Tommy Paul 89% · Quentin Halys 12% | $617k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $524k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $427k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $331k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| JMISSLE | Down | $200 |
| 0x030b… | Down | $126.20 |
| ApexUpDown | Down | $117.86 |
| Alpharo28 | Down | $64.93 |
| letmeseewhatspringislike | Down | $59.83 |
| feige11 | Down | $40.80 |
| 0x3c55… | Down | $33.93 |
| Lingjing | Down | $32.50 |
| welt.c | Down | $32.20 |
| 0x63ad… | Down | $30 |
| mihoyminoy | Down | $30.00 |
| 0x8b10… | Down | $28.45 |
424 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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