Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $43k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.6M |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 72% · Natus Vincere 28% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $985k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $800k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $515k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $456k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 73% · Puma Shen 28% | $305k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $279k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| isaycroire | Up | $553.18 |
| maxpein756321 | Up | $298.46 |
| Hoechst | Up | $261.77 |
| lkojihfafaf | Up | $196.71 |
| HAO168 | Up | $127.05 |
| Mihigh | Up | $122.22 |
| strainger | Up | $98.60 |
| Bernacca | Up | $96.92 |
| y8ke03 | Up | $94.22 |
| 0x19fc… | Up | $83.25 |
| djaywc | Up | $80.28 |
| 0x3c55… | Up | $75.42 |
473 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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