Up won. Smart money backed Down (5 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢) and lost. Volume $41k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 68% · No change 31% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $696k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 45% · FC Midtjylland 33% | $455k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $430k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $420k |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 41% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $399k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| nimbleraven | Up | $214.29 |
| SilvioArzeno | Up | $203.45 |
| Yanule | Up | $155.09 |
| JMISSLE | Up | $118.12 |
| Hoechst | Up | $100 |
| MartyPM | Up | $72.17 |
| alextraxer | Up | $71.56 |
| y8ke03 | Up | $47.03 |
| 0xa33c… | Up | $35.21 |
| Lingjing | Up | $31.20 |
| IvanPykhtin | Up | $29.26 |
| 0x2505… | Up | $28.99 |
327 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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