Up won. Smart money backed Down (5 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢) and lost. Volume $63k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $854k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $539k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys | Tommy Paul 90% · Quentin Halys 10% | $482k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $426k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $331k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| JMISSLE | Up | $711.70 |
| CrouchPredictions | Up | $136.64 |
| 0x6d6c… | Up | $91.94 |
| Lequidity | Up | $85.68 |
| Bigdog2025 | Up | $82.34 |
| Huwei37383 | Up | $64.89 |
| 98euf98a | Up | $47.97 |
| terriblegamble | Up | $46.96 |
| 0x3279… | Up | $45.92 |
| Alpharo28 | Up | $39.38 |
| THG. | Up | $34.69 |
| stan4o | Up | $31.82 |
554 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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