Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $58k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 30% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $974k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 21% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · Kamala Harris 4% | $689k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 40% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $514k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze | Sorana Cirstea 10% · Alexandra Shubladze 90% | $463k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 72% · Puma Shen 29% | $434k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $377k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $279k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BlackMagic88 | Down | $464.33 |
| yjo | Down | $415.18 |
| 0x2635… | Down | $369.94 |
| lkojihfafaf | Down | $217.47 |
| 0x2b5d… | Down | $169.13 |
| Sisquo | Down | $72.05 |
| EgonCholakian77 | Down | $66.67 |
| drew112d | Down | $63.12 |
| 0x741b… | Down | $45.46 |
| pulse | Down | $43.90 |
| 0x3dcb… | Down | $40.84 |
| brewcrypto | Down | $38.56 |
534 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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