George Mason Patriots won. Smart money backed UMBC Retrievers (7 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $510k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 71% · Arthur Rinderknech 29% | $427k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| omoi0i0 | George Mason Patriots | $6.09 |
| jeanh211 | George Mason Patriots | $4.68 |
| dimesalex | George Mason Patriots | $4.56 |
| dentleightadman | George Mason Patriots | $2.87 |
| sigamugacaca | George Mason Patriots | $2.67 |
| 0x6b25… | George Mason Patriots | $2.38 |
| elgrandes | George Mason Patriots | $1.50 |
| derric-terrain | George Mason Patriots | $1.49 |
| daniilken | George Mason Patriots | $1.44 |
| 0x1bc3… | George Mason Patriots | $0.86 |
| 0xa0f2… | UMBC Retrievers | −$236.23 |
| LightParadox | UMBC Retrievers | −$77.67 |
28 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $29; the 18 biggest losers gave up $503. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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