Montana won. Smart money backed Eastern Washington (5 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $9.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 68% · No change 31% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $696k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 45% · FC Midtjylland 31% | $455k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $430k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $420k |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 40% · Bilibili Gaming 60% | $399k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| uniform.cougar01 | Montana | $170 |
| 0x9b55… | Montana | $54.05 |
| Kev69 | Montana | $7.10 |
| 0x1bc3… | Montana | $6.86 |
| 0xfe67… | Montana | $6.06 |
| alpheclabs2 | Montana | $5 |
| User7429 | Montana | $2.73 |
| 0x9be8… | Montana | $2.70 |
| 7Million-Inc | Montana | $1.66 |
| martinsugar | Montana | $1.12 |
| heatwave0521 | Montana | $0.90 |
| mde4life1986 | Eastern Washington | −$748.65 |
24 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $258; the 13 biggest losers gave up $1.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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