No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $872k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Folletin took +$4.9k on No from 81¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.9k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 33% · No 68% | $204k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | Yes 20% · No 81% | $67k |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $31k |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $22k |
| 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? | JD Vance 25% · Gavin Newsom 3% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2% | $17k |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? | Yes 15% · No 85% | $11k |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes 21% · No 80% | $11k |
| Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Folletin | No | $5k |
| bamesjond | No | $3k |
| Kevindoto | No | $2k |
| f2hf84hg52h5 | No | $1k |
| 0x75d1… | No | $464.10 |
| madman666 | No | $419.90 |
| perepuk | No | $335.64 |
| MarketInefficiencies | No | $335.27 |
| zwxokx2 | No | $272.54 |
| iutwpfal | No | $249.41 |
| Aragorn-II | No | $236.10 |
| TwoTierKeir | No | $213.06 |
884 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $18k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $18k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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