Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $1.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $713k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 70% · Luca Van Assche 31% | $586k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $422k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 63% · No 38% | $391k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $370k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Vonz | Down | $33.64 |
| derderderder | Down | $20.82 |
| PRST1 | Down | $19.22 |
| Veruk3 | Down | $19.21 |
| VeruK2 | Down | $19.12 |
| wikingdusa | Down | $17.74 |
| VeruK4 | Down | $17.74 |
| VeruK1 | Down | $16.91 |
| kainarvasek | Down | $9.61 |
| WikingD2 | Down | $9.07 |
| alpacanow | Down | $8.67 |
| zahng | Down | $5.99 |
29 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $210; the 12 biggest losers gave up $175. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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