Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $1.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $937k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 38% · Natus Vincere 62% | $804k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $646k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $456k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $286k |
| Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | Natus Vincere 30% · PARIVISION 71% | $286k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| continent7 | Down | $21.34 |
| 0xc7eb… | Down | $8.27 |
| flexer78 | Down | $8.22 |
| Robocop8 | Down | $3.51 |
| kab19ddd12ab | Down | $2.80 |
| Quaid281 | Down | $2.30 |
| justdance | Down | $1.90 |
| asdfasd11d3 | Down | $1.20 |
| 1026446010 | Up | −$84 |
| flexer78 | Up | −$14.23 |
| MeridianColdView | Up | −$8.80 |
| 0x6f9f… | Up | −$5 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $50; the 8 biggest losers gave up $120. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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