Yes 75% · No 26%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 22¢). Volume $2.4k, liquidity $17k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $604k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $249k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $201k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $198k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $160k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $158k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oiboy69 | Yes | 352 |
| Eia | Yes | 168 |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 144 |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 93 |
| Konfucious | Yes | 68 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 35 |
| daok | Yes | 35 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 23 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 9 |
| controls | No | 786 |
| commersant | No | 144 |
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