No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 86¢). Volume $3.7k, liquidity $21k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
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| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $185k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $152k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $134k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $128k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $127k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $90k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $86k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Haradwaith | Yes | 585 |
| bigdihhh888 | Yes | 200 |
| Convex79 | Yes | 175 |
| galhammerman | Yes | 160 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 140 |
| WarriorH | Yes | 139 |
| JsonStatham | Yes | 130 |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf2 | Yes | 130 |
| SPLPB | Yes | 62 |
| WildManul | Yes | 50 |
| eCash | No | 2k |
| 0xdf27…e6e4 | No | 22 |