Question 1

What are the odds for “France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

No 97% · Yes 3%, on $87k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Question 2

Who is the smart money on “France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?”?

Accepted Answer

Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 96¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Question 3

Where does this data come from?

Accepted Answer

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Question 4

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Accepted Answer

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$3k	$58k	0%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$3k	$50k	-0.6%
Will Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Mobile win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$20	$320.75	0%

France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?

Who holds each side.

Yes

No

France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31… · odds, 1 month

Current odds

Smart money by side · known shares

Tape · this market, $500+

Rainbow Six markets by 24h volume

Smart-money conviction · Rainbow Six