0x09343a349bc2b0840c5b81378a229a4ac084f376
Mattia.Ilenotti on Polymarket: $1.3k total P&L, 66% win rate, 820 markets traded, $365k volume.
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| Title | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Cur Price | Cash Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | $765.09 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $29.87 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | $554.74 | 84¢ | 96¢ | $67.15 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | $522.01 | 88¢ | 97¢ | $43.26 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | No | $386.41 | 89¢ | 97¢ | $30.18 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? | No | $369.13 | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.82 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | No | $229.75 | 93¢ | 93¢ | −$0.61 |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | No | $200 | 90¢ | 89¢ | −$1.25 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | $309.99 | 42¢ | 28¢ | −$45.39 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | No | $70 | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.07 |
| Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings | Yes | $64 | 97¢ | 97¢ | −$0.32 |
| Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | No | $60 | 90¢ | 90¢ | −$0.50 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $50.98 | 71¢ | 81¢ | $4.88 |
| Handle | Pnl | Pnl Month | Roi | Win Rate | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abkha | $901k | $901k | 26.3% | 100% | $3.5M |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k | 14.9% | 100% | $5.7M |
| flawfence | $1.1M | $826k | 3.6% | 49.7% | $30.5M |
| dromedaryy | $688k | $657k | 7.8% | 42.4% | $11.1M |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k | 15.5% | 41.8% | $15.6M |
| Yeueu | $460k | $523k | 3.1% | 48.9% | $6.5M |
| e46m3 | $1.3M | $522k | 4.2% | 60.8% | $22.2M |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k | -14.2% | 54.5% | $3.4M |
| Lucerys | $458k | $430k | 2.9% | 58.6% | $9.5M |
| aHjCz | $627k | $352k | 3.2% | 44.2% | $18.6M |