No 95% · Yes 6%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 7¢). Volume $6.6k, liquidity $1.4k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
14 ranked wallets bought Yes at 7¢. It’s 6¢ now — −16% on paper.
Track all 14 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $636k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 85% · No 15% | $210k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $176k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $169k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $88k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $83k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $71k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 66% · No 35% | $68k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x64b2…a9f8 | Yes | 550 |
| theta-thunberg | Yes | 346 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 176 |
| Mustafalafel | Yes | 166 |
| Konfucious | Yes | 156 |
| Lordofebola | Yes | 100 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 60 |
| StanGrossman | Yes | 29 |
| UniLB | Yes | 24 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 22 |
| AztecaBull | No | 629 |
| Porx | No | 420 |
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