Who is the smart money on “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?”?

Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

No 60% · Yes 40%. Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). Volume $1.3M, liquidity $78k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
60%
Yes
40%
Volume
$1.3M
Liquidity
$78k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

8 wallets · 35,846 known shares

eCashwhale
entry 49¢ · P&L $291k · win 69%
Sardinianshepherdwhale
entry 66¢ · P&L $82k · win —
plla
entry 39¢ · P&L $19k · win 66%
grothwhale
entry 44¢ · P&L $146k · win 68%
peterfromfamilyguy
entry 55¢ · P&L $49k · win 59%
Giannis2026whale
entry 62¢ · P&L $58k · win 52%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 60% · Yes 40%, on $1.3M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?”?: Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

live

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

40%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Gadi Eizenkot 49% · Benjamin Netanyahu 36% · Naftali Bennett 9%	$10.0M	$1.2M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$317k	$176k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$187k	$129k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 94% · No 7%	$144k	$144k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 89% · No 11%	$131k	$57k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$109k	$76k
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$98k	$33k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 82%	$87k	$302k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction