Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · resolved

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

No won. Volume $2.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
No
Smart money
no ranked wallets
Volume
$2.1k
Closed
Nov 1, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

Smart wallets

Who held each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 100 known shares

123987456
entry — · all-time +$47k · win 41%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

Who won “Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No won; it closed Nov 1, 2026, on $2.1k of volume. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?”?: Winners and losers appear once Polynyx has settled every position from on-chain fills, usually within the hour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?

live

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by Octo… · odds to the close

Market & odds history

Result

Market & odds history

100%

No · resolved

Smart money by side · shares at the close

Smart money on a market

Yes100100%

Top Geopolitics wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
mintblade	$9.2M	$9.2M	52%	100%	$17.8M
fishalive	$9.1M	$9.1M	68.2%	100%	$13.3M
frostrizz	$8.9M	$8.9M	38.7%	83.3%	$23.1M
GRIMDRIP	$7.6M	$7.6M	55.9%	100%	$13.6M
joseph00677	$5.6M	$7.2M	11.9%	43.5%	$47.1M
muchobliged	$2.2M	$7.1M	6.9%	71.4%	$31.1M
endlessFate	$7.4M	$4.7M	28.2%	66.7%	$26.3M
Inaccuratestake	$4.0M	$3.9M	14.6%	74.2%	$27.2M

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$275k	$78k	-5.8%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$159k	$107k	4.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$123k	$652k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$327k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$101k	$78k	-3.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$96k	$51k	1.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$93k	$61k	2.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$80k	$173k	0.5%

Winners & losers · at the close

Winners & losers (settled)

Nothing settled yet — winners and losers appear once the market resolves.

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$44k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
4Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$5k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$7k
8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
9US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$1k
10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2k