No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $5.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xeb1b… took +$107 on No from 72¢; the biggest loser gave up $120.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 88% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 55% · 18°C 47% · 20°C 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 41% · 9°C 12% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 55% · 20°C 33% · 18°C 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $106.65 |
| quqqq | No | $66.12 |
| 241532532432 | No | $56.87 |
| VAPAPORRA | No | $49.46 |
| drorch | No | $35.94 |
| shiping | No | $29.94 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $21.09 |
| 1132 | No | $19.28 |
| Windollar | No | $15.60 |
| 0xyahn | No | $14.88 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $13.92 |
| Thermomenal | No | $13.45 |
83 wallets held a position at the close. The 45 biggest winners took $578; the 38 biggest losers gave up $564. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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