Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 67¢) and lost. Volume $7.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 30°C 47% · 31°C 44% · 29°C 10% | $13k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 56% · 8°C 41% · 10°C 4% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 38% · 84-85°F 25% · 78-79°F 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 51% · 8°C 42% · 6°C 8% | $10k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 25°C 98% · 26°C 0% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 44% · 19°C 26% · 17°C 24% | $9k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bilberry | Yes | $224.37 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $97.80 |
| yellowhp | Yes | $79.70 |
| twobonclay | Yes | $59.66 |
| Calimer0 | Yes | $58.97 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $57.35 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $56.22 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $48.70 |
| crabrave | Yes | $35.78 |
| dami-1 | Yes | $35.19 |
| 0xedbe… | Yes | $34.58 |
| 144bot | Yes | $29.56 |
128 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 44 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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