No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $9.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $35k |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $20k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 38% · 70-71°F 31% · 74-75°F 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 45% · 13°C 27% · 11°C 21% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 68% · 3°C 33% · 4°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 57% · 12°C 22% · 10°C 21% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 6? | 20°C 99% · 21°C 1% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Pellepele | No | $3k |
| 241532532432 | No | $21.12 |
| Altergora | No | $15.29 |
| K80PRO | No | $11 |
| belsand2 | No | $10.23 |
| Thermomenal | No | $10.05 |
| fkpd | No | $8.34 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $7.88 |
| nailongbaobao | No | $7.82 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | $7.60 |
| 0x980b… | No | $7.22 |
| 0x9506… | No | $6.80 |
60 wallets held a position at the close. The 27 biggest winners took $3.2k; the 33 biggest losers gave up $2.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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