0x30fb41b5a08fff5d3dd983f6323e3343931a7db4
tradetosurvive1 has lost $228k on Polymarket across 39,338 markets, winning 51% of the ones that resolved. Economics is the strength: $3.1k over 485 positions, mostly Markets markets. Right now it holds 2,908 open positions worth $69k, the largest on “Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lo…” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $237 per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
See the US politics Polymarket dashboard for the whole category. Browse the top wallets or every live market. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | No | 600 |
| Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 527 |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | 546 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 504 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 617 |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 429 |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | Yes | 447 |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? | No | 438 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 443 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? | No | 351 |
| Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 500 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | No | 381 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aHjCz | $1.3M | $1.2M |
| Abkha | $901k | $901k |
| eventalpha26 | $845k | $845k |
| dromedaryy | $644k | $590k |
| tdrhrhhd | $2.3M | $565k |
| Yeueu | $472k | $523k |
| 77FcD | $499k | $499k |
| 88888x88888 | $307k | $307k |
| sumolive | $267k | $267k |
| defillama7 | $549k | $256k |