Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $49k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
179 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $6.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 1? | 33°C 100% · 32°C 0% | $24k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 1? | 60-61°F 59% · 62-63°F 34% · 64-65°F 5% | $24k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 1? | 11°C 98% · 12°C 2% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 1? | 11°C 85% · 12°C 15% · 13°C 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 1? | 8°C 98% · 9°C 2% · 10°C 0% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 1? | 13°C 80% · 14°C 26% · 15°C or higher 4% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 1? | 60-61°F 60% · 62-63°F 31% · 58-59°F 7% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Leclerc04 | Yes | $2k |
| Bertrame6868 | Yes | $608.01 |
| KickstandBot | Yes | $455.10 |
| mashuuu | Yes | $446.43 |
| nomoney-nohoney | Yes | $399.10 |
| HKPicker | Yes | $258.35 |
| WeatherHK2 | Yes | $218.26 |
| arrizabalahahaha | Yes | $173.74 |
| masadesuwa96 | Yes | $160.02 |
| Tallguy2527 | Yes | $131.03 |
| polyweatheryuan | Yes | $110.64 |
| hffhjzdg | Yes | $83.31 |