No won. Smart money backed Yes (18 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $9.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x65f7… took +$141 on No from 73¢; the biggest loser gave up $223.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 66% · 26°C 34% · 27°C 2% | $24k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 1% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 96% · 20°C 8% · 21°C 1% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on November 15? | 30°C 100% · 31°C 1% · 32°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Guangzhou on November 15? | 27°C 95% · 28°C 4% · 29°C 1% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 38% · 8°C 24% · 6°C 22% | $11k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | No | $141.36 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $96.27 |
| hello.67 | No | $91.39 |
| 241532532432 | No | $84.89 |
| 0xe95f… | No | $62.86 |
| 0xedbe… | No | $58.57 |
| 0xe7c6… | No | $44.69 |
| bunbhjkjh | No | $31.75 |
| TheArbTraderMax | No | $30.91 |
| rocky42016 | No | $30.59 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $26.74 |
| Windollar | No | $20.57 |
119 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $959; the 58 biggest losers gave up $989. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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