0x8d88d51a302d3bfb8fc2f71abdfd5f676cbd1e28
rocky42016 has lost $7.4k on Polymarket across 7,844 markets, winning 50% of the ones that resolved. Pop Culture is the strength: $2.8k over 107 positions, mostly Movies & TV markets, with Other next at $2.6k. Right now it holds 120 open positions worth $6.9k, the largest on “Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?” (No). It spreads small stakes widely, about $1.4k per market. Full profile on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 514 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 289 |
| Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? | No | 1k |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | No | 531 |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? | No | 479 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 299 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | No | 924 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 567 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat? | No | 243 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | No | 422 |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 299 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | No | 230 |
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Tokor | $768k | $619k |
| 0xe5e1… | $225k | $312k |
| A1729 | $207k | $181k |
| oxe78sh4w98 | $74k | $175k |
| ApexUpDown | −$5k | $173k |
| andy8980 | $163k | $163k |
| RLWG | $126k | $162k |
| rekt-prediction | $134k | $138k |
| Telawin | −$31k | $136k |
| kk7777777 | −$107k | $128k |
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