Yes won. Smart money backed No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x65f7… took +$333 on Yes from 45¢; the biggest loser gave up $180.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 57% · 18°C 27% · 20°C 5% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 41% · 9°C 11% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 34% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $332.51 |
| Maddad | Yes | $133.34 |
| 0x1e98… | Yes | $92.65 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $87.61 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $74.69 |
| Temp.me | Yes | $71.94 |
| ninja1985 | Yes | $69.50 |
| mashuuuu | Yes | $68.92 |
| rocky42019 | Yes | $65.55 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $51.07 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $44.09 |
| BeresBalu | Yes | $42.57 |
187 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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