No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢) and lost. Volume $3.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 5? | 17°C 52% · 18°C 25% · 16°C 13% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 5? | 9°C 48% · 10°C 32% · 8°C 14% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Istanbul on November 5? | 12°C 91% · 13°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 5? | 11°C 61% · 10°C 26% · 12°C 12% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 5? | 20°C 53% · 19°C 26% · 21°C 16% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 5? | 82-83°F 48% · 80-81°F 41% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 5? | 78-79°F 60% · 80-81°F 23% · 76-77°F 12% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 5? | 70-71°F 44% · 68-69°F 25% · 72-73°F 21% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aina458 | Yes | $4.22 |
| 241532532432 | No | $1.43 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $1.30 |
| sergo600 | Yes | $1.26 |
| wunderwoman | No | $1.00 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.79 |
| 0xff1f… | No | $0.50 |
| 0x3dd1… | Yes | −$10.20 |
| 0xedbe… | Yes | −$3.49 |
| maker2026 | Yes | −$2.25 |
| 0xb3eb… | Yes | −$1.94 |
| Calimer0 | Yes | −$1.25 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $10; the 11 biggest losers gave up $25. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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