No won. Smart money backed Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 50% · 21°C 27% · 19°C 21% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 50% · 27°C 33% · 29°C 14% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 44% · 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 12% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 45% · 62-63°F 40% · 64-65°F 4% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 52% · 19°C 39% · 18°C 6% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bilberry | No | $373.38 |
| 0x65f7… | No | $245.14 |
| hello.67 | No | $230.22 |
| MoneyForSky06 | No | $147.23 |
| Thermomenal | No | $126.38 |
| 0xa054… | No | $103.06 |
| Laury2 | No | $86.33 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $78.59 |
| blowdryer | No | $71.88 |
| exboyfriendjustsentit | No | $54.06 |
| 0x567 | No | $52.87 |
| VAPAPORRA | No | $51.58 |
165 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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