No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 3¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $9; the 6 biggest losers gave up $5. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 30°C 45% · 31°C 41% · 29°C 10% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 61% · 8°C 37% · 10°C 4% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 28% · 78-79°F 12% · 84-85°F 12% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 2? | 34°C 52% · 35°C 26% · 33°C 20% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 12°C 47% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 13% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 38% · 19°C 34% · 17°C 14% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 2? | 13°C 57% · 14°C 36% · 12°C 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| melee-rocket | No | $2.26 |
| bitsniper | No | $1.21 |
| ZedXian | No | $1.14 |
| donthackme | No | $0.81 |
| underwaterdruid | No | $0.66 |
| degenraf01 | No | $0.64 |
| haveagoodday | No | $0.63 |
| londonisthecapitalofgreatbritain | No | $0.61 |
| Cherryr | No | $0.60 |
| ghiwnp538712 | No | $0.59 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | −$1.20 |
| dami-1 | Yes | −$1.03 |